The Art of Navigating Progression

By JD Lagrange – Progression in hockey, much like in any field, is multifaceted and subjective. It’s not merely about statistical improvements but also about the development of skills, teamwork, and overall performance. However, defining what constitutes progress can vary greatly depending on individual perspectives and expectations. In the dynamic world of professional sports, where success is often measured in wins, losses, and championships, the notion of progression can sometimes be overshadowed by immediate results and short-term goals.

When examining the Montreal Canadiens, one can discern divergent viewpoints regarding their progression. On one hand, there are those who focus on the growth of individual players within the team. They may point to the development of young talents, improvements in specific skills, or the emergence of key contributors as signs of significant progress. Conversely, others take a broader view, assessing the team’s performance as a whole over the course of multiple seasons. From this perspective, they may argue that despite advancements in certain areas, the overall progress of the Canadiens as a cohesive unit has been less pronounced or insufficient, particularly when compared to the expectations set forth by fans, management, and the hockey community.

Individual progression

Although there is always room for growth, several individual players have made strides in the right direction this season for the Montreal Canadiens.

  • Nick Suzuki, serving as the team’s captain, has not only demonstrated remarkable offensive prowess with a career-high 33 goals and 77 points but has also garnered attention for his increasingly adept defensive play, earning recognition throughout the league.
  • Mike Matheson‘s impact on the Canadiens has been significant beyond his career-best 62 points. His versatility and reliability in all situations on the ice, exemplified by his substantial ice time averaging 25:33 minutes per game (3rd most in the NHL), underscore his indispensability to the team’s success.
  • Cole Caufield‘s season saw a notable transformation from a slow start to a formidable finish. Despite initially struggling to find the back of the net (11 goals at the halfway point in the season), his determination paid off with 28 goals and 64 points. Furthermore, his improved defensive awareness and playmaking abilities have added depth to his game.
  • While much of the spotlight is on Kirby Dach, Alex Newhook has quietly matched the former Blackhawks’ pace, despite facing significant time off due to injuries. Despite playing just 55 games, Newhook achieved career highs with 15 goals and 34 points, showcasing his potential as a key contributor to the team’s future success.
  • It seems the talk of Juraj Slafkovsky being a bust has faded away, hasn’t it? The towering Slovak emerged as a significant contributor for the Canadiens, proving himself as the team’s second-best points producer behind Suzuki since January 27th, tallying an impressive 31 points in 34 games. Finishing the season with a commendable 20 goals and 50 points, Slafkovsky consistently showcased his prowess on the ice, becoming a formidable presence for the team game after game.

Team progression

Having examined the progression of individual players, let’s now shift our attention to the team as a whole. We’ll analyze the team statistics across the 2021-22, 2022-23, and 2023-24 seasons to gauge the extent of progression during this period, despite consistently finishing among the NHL’s bottom five teams each year.

CATEGORY2021-222022-232023-24
MGL*599 (1st)600 (1st)390(12th)
GP828282
W223130
L494536
OT11616
PTS556876
PTS%.335.415.463
Standings32nd28th28th
GF/GP2.662.772.83
GA/GP3.873.723.43
PP%13.716.117.5
PK%75.672.776.5
Shots/GP29.827.327.7
SA/GP34.433.633.4
FO%49.248.551.5
Hits/6024.1819.2621.64
BkS/6014.2817.0117.52
GvA/6011.7611.538.97
TkA/606.096.175.54
Minor Pen300293308
Major Pen183324
Pen. drawn/603.793.743.93
Pen. taken/604.114.334.17
PIM/GP10:1111:3810:10

*MGL = Man Games Lost to injuries. Source: NHL Injury Viz

While I recognize that some individuals might attempt to interpret the aforementioned statistics and comparisons to fit their own narrative, I’ll entrust you to form your own conclusions.

However, it’s important to acknowledge the stark reality: the past three years have been disheartening for Montreal Canadiens fans, especially following their journey to the Stanley Cup finals. As we approach the upcoming offseason, the stakes are high for Jeff Gorton and Kent Hughes. It’s imperative that we start witnessing tangible progress as a team. Fortunately, both men have acknowledged this necessity in their end-of-season press conference, indicating a shared commitment to steering the team toward improvement.

Although they will be doing this without me

Canadiens Hint to Improvements – What It Can Look Like

By JD Lagrange – The Montreal Canadiens are stirring up discussions among fans regarding their pursuit of game-changing free agents. Supported by the team’s VP of Hockey Operations Jeff Gorton, GM Kent Hughes’ willingness to strike the right deal at the right price adds fuel to the speculation. As the offseason looms, attention turns to potential unrestricted free agents and trade targets. While some names stand out, others are dismissed due to various factors. Yet, amidst the conjecture, one thing remains certain: the Canadiens are poised to make strategic moves aimed at propelling them towards a future filled with success and rejuvenated fan enthusiasm.

A while ago, prior to trade deadline, we looked at some long-shots potential trade targets. Let’s now turn our focus on more impactful players, through free agency and trades.

PENDING UFAs

There’s a lot of chatter among fans about whether the Canadiens should pursue a game-changing free agent. VP of Hockey Operations Jeff Gorton addressed this directly, stating they’d pull the trigger if the right player at the right price emerged. Whether you agree or not, those were his words.

Given this stance, I’ve taken the initiative to spotlight some potential impactful unrestricted free agents this upcoming summer. While there may be others worth considering, I’ve narrowed it down to four:

  1. Sam Reinhart (FLA) – 28 years old, Right Wing
  2. Jake Guentzel (CAR) – 29 years old, Left Wing
  3. Elias Lindholm (VAN) – 29 years old, Center/Right Wing
  4. Anthony Duclair (TBL) – 28 years old, Left Wing

Now, I’ve intentionally excluded two notable pending UFAs:

  • Steven Stamkos: It’s hard to envision him leaving Tampa Bay.
  • Jonathan Marchessault: Why pursue another undersized forward, especially with Cole Caufield already in the top-6? Additionally, at 33, turning 34 in December, he might not be the ideal fit.

TRADE(S)

I prefer this option, and whenever Canadiens’ GM Kent Hughes fields the question, his answer remains consistent. He’s keen on seizing the chance to acquire a young, high-caliber player via trade, provided it doesn’t compromise the team’s long-term vision. It’s akin to the moves for Kirby Dach and Alex Newhook in recent NHL Drafts. The Canadiens certainly possess the assets, be it draft picks or promising young prospects, to make such a move.

Once again, I’ve sifted through the teams and compiled a reasonably realistic list of young, impactful players who might be available via trade. Just for fun, I’ve ranked them by age:

OUT OF LEFT FIELD

I understand that this suggestion might not be a crowd-pleaser, but I’m throwing it out there anyway. After all, when has the prevailing sentiment ever held me back from voicing my thoughts, right?

Picture this scenario: What if the Canadiens, after conducting thorough research, entertained the idea of a trade with the Columbus Blue Jackets, with the stipulation that they retain half of Patrik Laine’s salary?

Here’s the breakdown on Laine:

  • Patrik Laine (CBJ) – Right Wing, 26 years old
  • Currently enrolled in the NHLPA Player Assistance Program
  • Contract valued at $8.7 million, expiring in 2025-26
  • Stands at an imposing 6 feet 5 inches, weighing 215 lbs
  • Drafted 2nd overall in 2016, just behind Auston Matthews

Laine’s talent is undeniable. If the Canadiens could get him at $4.35 million per season for the remaining two years of his contract, it could be a very worthwhile move. However, his injury history raises a valid concern, warranting a thorough medical evaluation before any decisions are made.

CONCLUSION

Despite lingering doubts among fans, the Montreal Canadiens are unwavering in their resolve. As they look ahead to the next season, their primary objective is crystal clear: to shift the focus towards winning more hockey games and instill a winning mentality within their youthful roster.

In their quest for success, the organization is prepared to expedite the rebuild process, albeit with a cautious eye on the future and a keen emphasis on acquiring players within the optimal age range. Armed with a treasure trove of quality picks and assets amassed over three challenging seasons, the Canadiens possess the necessary tools to realize their aspirations.

However, the stakes are undeniably high. Anything short of a spirited bid for a playoffs berth next season will undoubtedly fall short of management’s lofty expectations. With the honeymoon phase now firmly in the rearview mirror, the Canadiens brace themselves for the more arduous phase of their journey, where the scrutiny of fans will be more vocal, and the challenges more formidable than ever before.