Projecting Production – Last of 2022

By Bob Trask – Just a quick update during the holiday season, before we put a cross on 2022!

With over 40% of the season completed and a New Year just around the corner, the projected production of each player over a full season provides us with a glimpse of what kind of offensive talent the team has on its hands. These projections are based on production achieved so far this season and a very rough estimate on the number of games each player will suit up for for the duration of the year. These aren’t predictions but just simple mathematical projections that can change dramatically if a players has a hot streak or suddenly goes cold – or is traded.


Nick Suzuki82343670
Cole Caufield82432164
Kirby Dach82113950
Sean Monahan64152843
Christian Dvorak82161834
Josh Anderson7921728
Mike Hoffman66181028
Juraj Slafkovsky74101424
Brendan Gallagher6181321
Evgenii Dadonov7151520
Jonathan Drouin5601717
Jake Evans8221416
Michael Pezzetta54639
Joel Armia64088


Kaiden Guhle8252732
Arber Xhekaj79121628
Jordan Harris7522426
Mike Matheson3942024
David Savard6231821
Joel Edmundson6631013
Jonathan Kovacevic772911
Chris Wideman5901111

All projections are presented without comment. Draw your own conclusions.

More readings…

Projected Performance

By Bob Trask – With the season at the one-third mark for the Canadiens we can take a look at projected performances for the various players and you can see how they match up against your pre-season expectations. Games played are my own “guesstimates” and production estimates are extrapolated from that

Nick Suzuki82424587
Cole Caufield82483684
Kirby Dach82124557
Sean Monahan73183250
Mike Matheson6373542
Christian Dvorak82152136
Mike Hoffman70241236
Kaiden Guhle8233033
Josh Anderson7521628
Juraj Slafkovsky72131326
Brendan Gallagher70101626
Arber Xhekaj75121224
Jordan Harris6931821
David Savard7231821
Evgenii Dadonov605813
Jonathan Drouin5101313
Jonathan Kovacevic703912
Joel Edmundson684812
Jake Evans7201111
Chris Wideman4001111
Joel Armia64088
Rem Pitlick44404
Michael Pezzetta42303

One of the strengths of the Montreal Canadiens was supposed to be the balance in its lineup from top to bottom. They were supposed to have a 4th line, for instance, that other teams would ignore at the peril. Unfortunately, it hasn’t turned out that way and based on production to date. The bottom 5 scoring forwards are projected to score a combined 7 goals goals this year or an average of about 1.4 goals per player.

As the Canadiens look to improve next season, the obvious lack of a scoring threat from the 4th line and spare players will be one shortcoming that Kent Hughes and company will be looking to address. There are other disappointments on offense as well with Brendan Gallagher and Evgenii Dadonov falling far short of expectations but not all of the problems can be addressed at one time, mainly due to contracts that may prove to be unmovable.

Strengthening the bottom of the lineup is absolutely critical if the Canadiens hope to challenge for a playoff spot next year. In the meantime, we can watch and wait over the next couple of months or so to see which names remain on the list and which disappear.

More reading…